Bayern go to Freiburg, the one ground nobody has won at this season
Third against first. Freiburg have won all five home matches this season; Bayern scored thirteen in their last two home league matches, and Freiburg have beaten them once in forty-six league meetings.
Bayern lead the Bundesliga on fourteen points and Freiburg are third on thirteen, so this is a top-of-the-table match in name. In substance the gap is wider: Bayern beat Union 7-0 in September and Leipzig 6-1 last week, and Freiburg have one win in the last forty-six league meetings.
Bayern Munich look the stronger side with three goals or more in all.
Freiburg's five home wins are real, and Suzuki returns from suspension, which is why the home side are not written off. Bayern are without Luis Díaz, injured against Arsenal, and Kimmich's availability is unclear; neither changes the shape of the match. Bayern's last five league matches averaged more than four goals and Freiburg's more than three, so we are as sure of three goals or more as of a Bayern win.
